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题名: Where is the future of China's biogas? Review, forecast, and policy implications
作者: Gu Lei; Zhang Yixin; Wang Jianzhou; Chen Gina; Battye Hugh
收录类别: CSCD
出版日期: 2016
刊名: Petroleum Science
卷号: 13, 期号:3, 页码:604-624
英文摘要: This paper discusses the history and present status of different categories of biogas production in China, most of which are classified into rural household production, agriculture-based engineering production, and industry- based engineering production. To evaluate the future biogas production of China, five models including the Hubbert model, the Weibull model, the generalized Weng model, the H–C–Z model, and the Grey model are applied to analyze and forecast the biogas production of each province and the entire country. It is proved that those models which originated from oil research can also be applied to other energy sources. The simulation results reveal that China's total biogas production is unlikely to keep on a fast-growing trend in the next few years, mainly due to a recent decrease in rural household production, and this greatly differs from the previous goal set by the official department. In addition, China's biogas production will present a more uneven pattern among regions in the future. This paper will give preliminary explanation for the regional difference of the three biogas sectors and propose some recommendations for instituting corresponding policies and strategies to promote the development of the biogas industry in China.
关键词: Biogas production ; China ; Temporal–spatial ; Forecast ; Policy
作者部门: College of Earth and Environmental Sciences,Lanzhou University ; School of Mathematics and Statistics,Lanzhou University ; School of Statistics,Dongbei University of Finance and Economics ; School of Law,Northwestern University ; School of History and Culture,Lanzhou University
所属项目编号: supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
所属项目名称: 国家自然科学基金项目
项目资助者: NSFC
语种: 英语
CSCD记录号: CSCD:5781759
IR记录号: CSCD3216
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内容类型: 期刊论文
URI标识: http://ir.lzu.edu.cn/handle/262010/186284
Appears in Collections:资源环境学院_期刊论文

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Recommended Citation:
Gu Lei,Zhang Yixin,Wang Jianzhou,et al. Where is the future of China's biogas? Review, forecast, and policy implications[J]. Petroleum Science,2016,13(3):604-624.
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